New study: Regime change in Iran could boost EU economy - 02 Mar 2026
GDP gains of up to 0.7% for the EU; Austria would benefit particularly; dampening effects on inflation; Iran could reach the economic level of Turkey or South Korea in the medium termread more
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has fundamentally changed Central, East and Southeast Europe - 24 Feb 2026
The war has ended the region’s three-decade growth model and replaced it with one defined by security and capital intensityread more
Reorientation of Ukraine’s economy towards the EU - 24 Feb 2026
EU now Ukraine’s most important trading partner; high dependence on China for drones; critical raw materials, defence and renewables are opportunities for Europe; robust agriculture, greater role for the governmentread more
New study: fiscal consolidation dampens growth and increases inequality - 18 Feb 2026
Study shows: dampening effects of fiscal consolidation are significantly stronger in a recession than in an upturn; negative impact in Austria limited so far; ensure socially balanced consolidationread more
United Europe 2031: Widen, Deepen, Survive - 17 Feb 2026
Europe must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into declineread more
Winter forecast for Eastern Europe: Solid growth despite uncertainties - 04 Feb 2026
Structural change in Central and Eastern Europe is in full swing, while Trump, budget deficits and a dictated peace in Ukraine pose risks; Ukraine faces a difficult future, whereas Russia’s economy is stagnatingread more
A dictated peace would be a disaster for Ukraine and Central Eastern Europe - 15 Jan 2026
Without credible security guarantees, Ukraine is likely to become a vassal state of Moscow and will continue to get poorer. The EU members of the region would face economic decline and protracted conflict with Russiaread more
In cooperation with CEU, FIW, Universität Wien, WIFO, WIIW and WU.
Alberto Martin (CREI/Pompeu Fabra) presents his research (jointly with Fernando Broner, Josefin Meyer, Christoph Trebesch) in the Vienna International Economics Seminar (VIES) series
Hegemonic Globalization (joint with Fernando Broner, Josefin Meyer, Christoph Trebesch)
