News & Opinions

Spring forecast: Eastern Europe weathering the Iran shock for now - 29 Apr 2026

A protracted war in the Middle East would lead to a sharp decline in growth; ‘extended workbench’ model no longer CEE’s growth engine; gloomy outlook for Ukraine; Russia in stagnation, despite windfall profits from Iran war; Hungary’s recovery will take time read more

Osteuropa wichtigste Stütze für Österreichs Exportwachstum - 29 Apr 2026

Obwohl der Iran-Krieg die Wachstumsaussichten Mittel-, Ost- und Südosteuropas dämpft, kann Österreich weiterhin optimistisch auf die dortige Wirtschaftsentwicklung blicken read more

New study: EU tobacco tax reform could boost revenues and cut smoking - 20 Apr 2026

Our new study on EU tobacco tax reform was presented at the European Parliament, highlighting its potential to increase fiscal revenues and improve public health read more

wiiw is hiring a Pre-Doc Economist specialised in Macroeconomics - 01 Apr 2026

The candidate should have a Master’s degree, skills in econometrics and a pronounced interest in empirical research. read more

New Study: Same job, different skills – why migrants fall behind at work - 13 Mar 2026

Migrants in Europe perform fewer complex tasks than native workers in the same jobs due to cognitive skill gaps rather than discriminatory task allocation. Language training and skill development are key read more

New study: Regime change in Iran could boost EU economy - 02 Mar 2026

GDP gains of up to 0.7% for the EU; Austria would benefit particularly; dampening effects on inflation; Iran could reach the economic level of Turkey or South Korea in the medium term read more

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has fundamentally changed Central, East and Southeast Europe - 24 Feb 2026

The war has ended the region’s three-decade growth model and replaced it with one defined by security and capital intensity read more

Reorientation of Ukraine’s economy towards the EU - 24 Feb 2026

EU now Ukraine’s most important trading partner; high dependence on China for drones; critical raw materials, defence and renewables are opportunities for Europe; robust agriculture, greater role for the government read more

New study: fiscal consolidation dampens growth and increases inequality - 18 Feb 2026

Study shows: dampening effects of fiscal consolidation are significantly stronger in a recession than in an upturn; negative impact in Austria limited so far; ensure socially balanced consolidation read more

United Europe 2031: Widen, Deepen, Survive - 17 Feb 2026

Europe must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into decline read more

Winter forecast for Eastern Europe: Solid growth despite uncertainties - 04 Feb 2026

Structural change in Central and Eastern Europe is in full swing, while Trump, budget deficits and a dictated peace in Ukraine pose risks; Ukraine faces a difficult future, whereas Russia’s economy is stagnating read more

A dictated peace would be a disaster for Ukraine and Central Eastern Europe - 15 Jan 2026

Without credible security guarantees, Ukraine is likely to become a vassal state of Moscow and will continue to get poorer. The EU members of the region would face economic decline and protracted conflict with Russia read more

Recent Publications

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Growth model adapting under pressure

wiiw Forecast Reports read more

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Monthly Report No. 04/2026

wiiw Monthly Reports read more

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The illiberal economy: The long-term development of the Hungarian economy under Viktor Orbán

wiiw Policy Notes and Reports read more

Upcoming Events

19  May 2026    5:45 pm CEST

In cooperation with CEU, FIW, Universität Wien, WIFO, WIIW and WU.

David Atkin (MIT) presents his research (jointly with Baptiste Bernadac, Dave Donaldson, Tishara Garg and Federico Huneeus) in the Vienna International Economics Seminar (VIES) series

The Incidence of Distortions (joint Baptiste Bernadac, Dave Donaldson, Tishara Garg and Federico Huneeus)

read more

28  May 2026    4:30 pm CEST

In cooperation with City of Vienna.

Spring Seminar 2026: Urban Human Capital Nexus: Navigating Ageing, Culture, Markets, and Integration

read more

Projects in Focus

How to dovetail Ukraine’s reconstruction with EU integration and accession

Client: Bertelsmann Stiftung
Duration: January 2023 - December 2023 read more

Export diversification strategy for Venezuela

Client: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD)
Duration: October 2023 - December 2024 read more

Zurück nach Österreich? Potenziale von Rückverlagerungen als Teil moderner Resilienz- und Standortstrategien

Client: Austrian Federal Ministry of Economy, Energy and Tourism
Duration: November 2025 - September 2026 read more

The spatial impact of EU policies

Client: European Commission, DG Regional Policy
Duration: October 2023 - January 2025 read more

Fiscal policies in Europe IV

Client: Austrian Chamber of Labour
Duration: January 2023 - November 2024 read more

Differences in real non-residential investment between the United States and EU countries

Client: European Investment Bank (EIB)
Duration: May 2023 - June 2024 read more

Modeling the Effects of Geopolitical Tensions on Trade and Global Value Chains

Client: Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Duration: October 2024 - December 2025 read more

Datenquellen für die Analyse von Berufen, Kompetenzen und Skills/Tasks

Client: Austrian Federal Ministry of Labour and Economy
Duration: September 2024 - October 2024 read more

Labour market trajectories of refugees and other migrants

Client: Anniversary Fund of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank
Duration: January 2021 - June 2023 read more

Preparation of Ukraine for its accession to the EU in the area of Cohesion Policy

Client: Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)
Duration: June 2024 - December 2024 read more

New EU own resources: possibilities and limitations of steering effects and sectoral policy co-benefits

Client: European Parliament
Duration: March 2021 - August 2021 read more

EU-Asia relations: technological competition and trade policies in an era of regionalisation

Client: Anniversary Fund of the Oesterreichische Nationalbank
Duration: June 2023 - October 2026 read more

Short- and medium-term sectoral employment forecasts in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic

Client: European Trade Union Institute (ETUI)
Duration: April 2021 - September 2021 read more


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